Archive for the ‘Asia Pacific’ Category

A Barometer Of CRE Confidence

Tuesday, May 21st, 2013

Only 28% of Corporate Real Estate (CRE) executives globally feel well equipped to meet all tactical and strategic demands from the C-suite and senior leadership.

Correlating these responses with the acceleration of CRE outsourcing, we see that CRE executives fare better in mature countries such as the US, while in less mature ones the perceived ability to rise to the challenge is more limited. This is particularly true in Asia Pacific, where only 21% feel well-equipped region-wide and none at all in Japan.


Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Risks Ahead- Global Corporate Real Estate Trends, 2013

Pressures resulting from this lack of confidence are not likely to subside. The spotlight shone on CRE two years ago as the result of the global financial crisis has only gotten brighter. Greater engagement with the C-suite and closer alignment between business and CRE strategy have led to an uncomfortably broad range of demands being placed on CRE professionals. Not only do CRE executives need to continue to deliver tactically, but an expanded set of more strategic demands are building up.

At the tactical level, reducing costs remains at the top of the traditional demands that have been in play with CRE teams for some time. At the strategic level, delivering productivity outcomes is consistently cited as the most crucial. While workplace productivity improvement was featured in our 2011 report as an emerging trend for best-in-class workplace strategy, it is now reported as a high expectation by senior leadership. This primary focus is also taking CRE beyond the workplace to encompass people, business and asset productivity.

Strategic requirements are coming as an addition to – not in replacement of – previous demands. They are calling for different skill sets and represent a drain on capacity. If combined with frequently low investment in the CRE function, mounting C-suite expectations increase the risk of CRE teams underperforming. Step change is needed for CRE to fully deliver to its elevated agenda. Read other survey findings in Jones Lang LaSalle’s report Risks Ahead! Global Corporate Real Estate Trends.

About the author
Anne Thoraval is a Director, in charge of Corporate Research Asia Pacific.

Are Savings Just Thin Air?

Thursday, April 25th, 2013

On a trip back to Scotland a couple of weeks ago, what jumped out at me was how much better the air quality was in comparison to Hong Kong.

This is far from a new topic, but realistically how do we address air quality in emerging Asia? In thinking of the interest groups and stakeholders involved this reminded me of the dilemma originally raised by ecologist Garrett Hardin. His theory tackled the socio-economic dilemma of a group of individuals when sharing a common resource. Known as “the tragedy of the commons,” this theory can be applied to a myriad of scenarios when society shares a common resource – in this case the wider environment.

In its simplest sense, the theory references the practice of medieval common grazing by herdsmen for their cattle. It goes something like this. Any single herder will have a personal motivation to add one more cow to his herd, because even if the results of adding additional cattle to his herd cause overgrazing and damage to the pastures, the herdsman receives all the economic benefit of adding those additional cattle, whilst the damage to the lands is shared by all.

Now, I’m not going to solve the air quality issues in Hong Kong in 500 words, but what is clear is that we all have a stake and responsibility in tackling these issues and this applies as much to real estate professionals just like myself. With a significant proportion of energy consumption being taken up by real estate, globally we have a duty and a responsibility to drive forward change to improve the impact we have on our “pastures.”

Now what Hardin did not address in his paper was technology. Technology provides solutions to problems. Yes we can legislate, but the winning argument in relation to real estate in this debate in my mind is simply the bottom line. When businesses start to see the savings and benefits to their bottom line of adopting more sustainable new technologies in real estate, adopting new best practice will just become the natural course. Technology is already moving fast and the real estate industry has some brilliant technologies at hand already.

The savings from sustainability are very real, not just on the impact we have on our “pastures” but on the bottom line. A great example is our new LEED Platinum office in Hong Kong. Our new office consumes 13% less energy per sq ft and better air quality has greatly improved the environment, indeed we’ve seen a 32% reduction in absenteeism.

I’m not saying technology has all the solutions now and that the payback times and the investment are not prohibitive at times. However, what is true is that the more it’s adopted, the more the costs will come down making it a more viable option.

A project we undertook in New York on the Empire State Building is a great example of how savings can be made even today. Not only did we deliver a project to improve sustainability which would pay for itself in three years by saving US$4.4m per annum in energy savings, the energy reduction and thus the impact on the planet, was in the region of 38%.

So the lesson is this, not only is the technology here to save us from a similar “tragedy of the commons,” but it’s improving every day. The savings to the bottom line are real and it’s up to us as real estate professionals to promote best practice in our industry. We can’t solve transport and factory pollution; however, with a little effort from all stakeholders, there will be some very tangible benefits for the wider environment and also the bottom line of developers, tenants and landlords – our clients.

About the author
Roddy Allan is a Director, Asia Pacific Research for Jones Lang LaSalle, based in Hong Kong.

Investment Activity Up In The First Quarter

Tuesday, April 16th, 2013

Regional Summary

Investment activity commenced the year firmly across Asia Pacific, with USD 27.4 billion of transactions in the first quarter. Volumes were up 29% on the same quarter last year and up 3% from the strong final quarter of 2012. For the most part, capital from institutional investors continues to chase core trophy assets; however we are seeing evidence of some groups starting to look up the risk curve. Opportunities into core-plus and value-add assets are starting to present a strong case for superior risk-adjusted returns given the aggressive pricing in core assets. Capital continues to flow into the real estate sector in the Asia Pacific region from multi-asset investors as well as pension and sovereign wealth funds, as asset allocation strategies continue to favour income producing assets. We continue to see a shift towards equity partnering, JVs and club deals as investors seek greater control of their assets.

The financing environment remains mixed across the region with investors continuing to seek out new sources of capital to diversify their debt portfolios. Asian bond markets continue to increase their global share as liquidity constraints (in some markets) and new regulation on bank lending help to accelerate the development of the bond market. The exodus of European lenders who continue to repatriate capital and reduce their balance sheet in the region is being somewhat offset by the larger role being played by regional and domestic banks. Lending margins remain high but continue to show a downward trend in most markets. All in funding costs remain attractive to real estate investment given the extremely low interbank lending rates across the more developed markets in the region.

Market Trends in 1Q13

Confidence in Japan has improved in early 2013 associated with planned stimulus measures to reflate the economy proposed by new PM Shinzo Abe. A weaker yen will also support the export and labour markets and have a positive flow on effect for commercial real estate markets. Domestic groups in Australia including A-REITs are back on the acquisition trail as unit prices have moved back in line with Net Asset Values (NAV). The cost of debt has continued to edge lower over the past 12 months and levered acquisitions are yield accretive to existing portfolios. The lull in investment activity seen in China in the second half of 2012 is showing signs of reversing after relatively firm performance in 1Q13 (up 2% on 1Q12 and 68% on 4Q12).

Most other core markets in the region performed fairly well during the quarter with Hong Kong recording investment volume growth despite cooling measures imposed through higher stamp duty and more restrictive mortgage lending practices. It was however a quarter of two halves with much of the activity occurring prior to the cooling measures. Singapore also recorded strong levels of investment activity, primarily due to a few very large deals concluding during the quarter. On the whole, we remain positive in our outlook for the region and we maintain expectation for full year 2013 investment volumes of USD 110 billion.

About the author
Nicholas Wilson is a Senior Analyst for the Asia Pacific Capital Markets team in Singapore.

The New Retailers In Town

Friday, April 5th, 2013

Last week when I was in London, the city was in the grip of an unseasonable cold snap. Retailers there were complaining about the impact of the cold weather on their sales. The prime retail precincts such as Oxford Street didn’t seem to be much affected though, with plenty of shoppers walking the pavements.

It’s interesting to compare the retail offer in London with that in Hong Kong, my home town, and Sydney, where I used to live.

Shoppers are spoilt for choice in London with a wide range of both domestic and international retailers. Home grown brands such as M&S, The Body Shop and Burberry compete side by side with luxury and mass market retailers from overseas. As discussed in our recent European research publication Destination Europe 2013, London has long been a magnet for international retailers attracted by the size, maturity and transparency of the market.

Hong Kong is some way behind London in terms of international retailer numbers. However in recent years it has seen a surge in new entrants, many hoping to profit from the huge growth in Mainland shoppers visiting the city. In the last year, Abercrombie & Fitch, Breitling and Forever 21 are just a few of the new retailers who have set up shop in Hong Kong.

Sydney has historically been dominated by domestic retailers, but it too is finally seeing increased interest from overseas. Retailers including Samsung, Topshop and Marimekko have recently arrived Down Under and expansion plans by other international retailers are sure to make for a more diverse and competitive retail environment.

To find out more about the latest trends in Asia Pacific’s retail hotspots, please take a look at our second edition of Retail Cities in Asia Pacific, released this week.

About the author
Dr Jane Murray is the Head of Research, Jones Lang LaSalle Asia Pacific.

Strata System Means Divided We Fall

Monday, March 11th, 2013

Subdivision in the ownership of buildings can amplify potential asset price bubbles in a city’s commercial real estate market, as well as being detrimental to the quality of urban life. Cities with a relatively high proportion of commercial buildings in multiple ownership, through strata title or deeds mutual covenant, are most at risk of mispricing the relationship between achievable rents and the capital values investors will pay.

Moreover, subdivision of buildings degrades public space, as it often leads to poor maintenance and considerable difficultly when redeveloping out-of- date building stock.

The combination of these two factors leads to the conclusion that city governments should ban further subdivision of single ownership in existing buildings, and severely curtail new multiple ownership developments in favour of single ownership commercial property.

The theories behind asset price bubbles are complex, with Alan Greenspan famously claiming it is impossible to spot them. However, professor Robert Shiller, author (with George Akerloff) of Animal Spirits and Irrational Exuberance, suggests there are some things we can look for to spot bubbles forming: high liquidity, high numbers of transactions and high rates of turnover of ownership.

In real estate markets, price bubbles can be created by lack of transparency, both from ‘money illusion’ – whereby the face (nominal) value of money is mistaken for its purchasing power (real value) – from inflation and investors trading ‘stories’ of beliefs that markets will go higher, along with a high rate of deal turnover and high liquidity.

The additional element for multiple ownership property is small lot size, which increases the number of investors who can participate in the market. In cities such as London, one cannot buy a floor of a building, as one can in Hong Kong or Singapore.

In Mumbai, floors can be subdivided with further multiple owners within a floor. The small lot size of a floor or even smaller unit allows higher levels of turnover and constant repricing in capital values, pushing yields fractionally lower on each deal.

Capital values per square foot are very often higher in multiple ownership buildings than in those owned by a single landlord. Often there is a lack of transparency about the rent likely to be achieved, which may benefit tenants, in that the multiple landlords may undercut each other to attract occupants, keeping rents down.

Blowing up the bubble

The combination of potentially higher capital values from repeat transactions, lower rents from under cutting, plus the higher number of participants through the ability to buy small lot sizes, amplifies the usual mechanism at play in commercial real estate investment, making investors more likely to enter bubble territory.

Multiple ownership broadly comes in two forms: statutory and common law contract. Hong Kong has deeds of mutual covenant on common law, while Singapore has strata titles on a statutory basis.

The difference may sound dull, but there is a distinction in that property rights held on a statutory basis are usually more clearly defined than those that are a private contract between parties. A look at the quality of the building maintenance in the two cities gives several clues as to the effectiveness of the two systems.

Multiple ownership property creates costs that are unfairly borne both by neighbours and wider society. The division of buildings necessitates more complicated management and maintenance.

The latter is often neglected due to the difficulty of getting multiple owners to agree on expenditure. Building management ordinances and strata management regulations only go so far; it only takes a couple of owners to refuse to pay, hoping for a free ride on the other owners, to have the system break down relatively quickly.

The additional costs of negotiation and enforcement for building management and maintenance weighs on society in the form of a poor environment, as buildings decay.

The solution is for governments to encourage smaller investors into commercial property through real estate investment trusts, or through shares in a single entity that owns the building. The REIT system gives investors access to income streams from commercial property in a more transparent way, with the building maintenance and management under the control of a single owner.
Ownership of buildings by a single entity is also essential to developing an institutional real estate market in Asia. We need a deeper stock of single ownership buildings so that growing Asian pension funds and insurance companies can access the type of stock they require.

In our modern, dense Asian global cities, multiple ownership of physical buildings imposes costs on the wider society. It is an archaic relic whose time has passed.

This article is first appeared in Asia Property February 2013.

About the author
Dr Megan Walters is the Head of Research, Jones Lang LaSalle Asia Pacific Capital Markets.

AP & Canada – An Ocean Apart But A Growing Connection

Friday, February 8th, 2013

For my first blog I thought I would share some of my observations about the similarities/differences between Asia Pacific and Canada, where I am from. As I am sure many of you know Canada is a very large country in terms of area, slightly bigger than China, but with relatively few people compared to many countries in Asia, Canada 35 million vs. China 1.35 billion. Despite being separated by the Pacific Ocean there are many cultural and economic ties between the two regions. The economic linkage has strengthened significantly in recent years with large investments by Asian companies into Canada’s resource sector – e.g. CNOOC buying Nexen and Petronas buying Progressive Energy.

The flow of investment has not been a one-way street, Canadian pension funds have been amongst the most active inter-regional real estate investors in AP. Based on our research data, Canada was one of the top sources for cross border real estate investment (USD 1.9 billion) in AP during 2012. Canada’s largest pension fund, CPPIB, has been involved in several large transactions/investments in AP including the Barangaroo office/retail development in Australia & a JV with GLP in Japan. Also it was recently reported that Caisse de depot du Quebec, a CAD 160 billion pension fund, is going to increase its real estate allocation by CAD 10 billion in the next 18 months. Some of these funds are likely to flow into this region, in particular China.

On a country level view, there are many similarities between Australia & Canada: both large countries with few people, an abundance of natural resources, and large exporting nations. From a real estate perspective there are also many commonalities: investment-grade ownership dominated by large pension funds & public companies (e.g. REITs), housing markets that were relatively unscathed by the global financial crisis, and a high level of property market transparency. In the Jones Lang LaSalle 2012 Global Transparency Index, Australia & Canada ranked 3rd & 6th respectively.

In spite of some common connections, there are many differences between the two regions from a real estate perspective. A couple of simple differences are evident from our Asia Pacific Property Digest. In Canada, the standard area measurement is sq ft whereas in AP it varies: sqm, sq ft, ping, pyong, and tsubo. The time period for rental quotes can also be another source of difference with annual being the standard in Canada while in AP annual, monthly, and even daily are used. Yes, daily! This one caught me by surprise the first time I saw it used in a Shanghai report. For those curious, the “per day” quotation traces back to the early 1990s when foreign companies operating in Shanghai had to use hotel rooms as offices because of a lack of dedicated office space.

I have only touched on a small subset of similarities & differences between the two regions but I will be sure to share other interesting observations discovered in the year ahead.

About the author
Lee Fong is a Manager, Asia Pacific Research for Jones Lang LaSalle, based in Hong Kong.

China Life Sciences Clusters: Magnets To The Global Multinationals

Wednesday, February 6th, 2013

Whist many life sciences companies are ‘right sizing’ in mature markets (due to decreasing sales and excess or duplicate facilities on the back of extensive M&A activity), most are strategically growing in emerging markets in Latin America and Asia.

Jones Lang LaSalle’s 2012 Global Life Sciences Clusters Report indicates that most industry leaders have aggressively expanded their footprint across Asia over the last decade, chasing potential market share and cost savings. Four of the largest global pharmaceutical companies – Pfizer, Novartis, Sanofi and GlaxoSmithKline – already earn a third of their revenues outside of their traditional markets.

Besides Japan, interest has until recently been focused primarily at the low-cost manufacturing capabilities of many Asian markets. However, governments of emerging Asian economies have begun strengthening their R&D capabilities and infrastructure, spurred on by increasing local demand and the significant potential positive impact on the economy and export revenue. Singapore has been a clear front runner, but the scale and speed at which China is making this leap has been quite extraordinary.

Life sciences clusters are strongest around the best talent pools. In China, proximity to the top-five universities and renowned hospitals has been pivotal to the development of the industry around Shanghai and Beijing. Life sciences clusters such as Beijing’s Zhongguancun Life Science park and Shanghai’s Zhangjiang Hi-Tech park have attracted huge R&D investments in recent years. For example, Merck rolled out a five-year USD 1.5 billion project to build a new facility in Beijing, AstraZeneca will open its China Innovation centre in Shanghai, while Pfizer is also relocating its antibacterial research unit there from the US.

Besides the financial incentives that many of these top tier clusters offer (such as reduced tax rates), they also aim to provide a ‘one-stop-shop’ across the value chain for domestic and international players. Most of these parks are very large (ranging from 90 to 7,500 hectares) and host a wide variety of properties, from core industrial production factories to commercial offices (sales teams and regional HQs), R&D facilities and medical care areas. Moreover, virtually all include research and teaching facilities of major universities.

Whilst the life sciences clusters around Beijing and Shanghai have been the major recipients of foreign capital to date, they certainly aren’t the only hotspots for potential R&D investment. Clusters around cities such as Nanjing, Wuhan and Jinan have also attracted increasing international interest, with for example Pfizer, Novozymes and United Therapeutics, all developing new facilities in these markets. Other possible growth locations for the life sciences industry might be found in Wuxi (Jiangsu), where there is a niche for stem-cell research; Tianjin, where there is a strong presence of large domestic players (collaboration with domestic firms is strongly encouraged by the government); and Chengdu with its strong government support, proximity to the western/inland market and great ability to retain talent.

Away from the major clusters mentioned above, Chinese companies are expanding their R&D presence beyond the traditional eastern and south eastern regions. Multinationals have not followed domestic players into these locations in great numbers yet, and for them to do so will depend on investment in new academic university and healthcare programmes, combined with supportive local governments.

About the author
Alex Colpaert is Senior Manager, Corporate Research, for Jones Lang LaSalle in APAC, based in Singapore.

2013 Capital Markets In Asia Pacific – Moving On Up

Thursday, January 31st, 2013

The capital markets for commercial real estate across Asia Pacific are set to grow 10 to 15% in 2013. Our forecast for the Asia Pacific regional total of investment transaction volumes is at USD 110 billion. This growth will be achieved by increasing capital targeting the real estate sector.

The big trends for 2013 will be the growth of institutional sources of capital and the rise of cross border investment, as investors continue to drive cash into real estate developing the global asset class. Low yields available on other investment classes, the potential for inflation picking up and the availability of new good quality building stock in Asia, makes real estate an attractive option. We recently released a Jones Lang LaSalle white paper at the Davos Conference in Switzerland last week on the topic. Click here to access.

We finished 2012 at a shade under USD 95 billion worth of commercial property bought and sold across Asia Pacific, down on 2011 figure of USD 98 billion. The short fall in volumes was almost entirely due to a fall in transactions in China in the second half of the year, leaving China down approximately 25 % on the year before as the measures introduced by the Chinese government to slow their economy took hold.

In 2013 we will see the traditional sources of capital looking cross border and the rise of new sources. US based and global funds are returning to Asia after a lull post GFC. Australian pension funds will venture off shore, Japanese funds will look at South East Asia and Singapore will grow as a conduit for capital round the region. New sources of capital looking at the region will be the rise of indigenous Asian pension funds and insurance companies looking to buy real estate as part of an investment portfolio, as rising middle classes channel their earnings into savings, pensions and insurance products.

To put some numbers round these trends; in 2012 cross border purchasers accounted for USD 19.7 billion in 2012, equivalent to 21% of all acquisitions. Four countries accounted for 80% of the regions cross border acquisitions; Australia attracted USD 6.5 billion, followed by Japan (USD 5.1 billion), China (USD 4.3 billion) and Hong Kong (USD 1.8 billion).

The potential is for the proportion of acquisitions bought by cross border capital to grow beyond the 15% market growth. Singapore was a standout source, with one third of all cross border capital deployed in Asia Pacific in 2012 coming from the city state, at over USD 6.5 billion. Other major sources of cross border capital included global investors (USD 2.4 billion), the US (USD 2.3 billion), Canada (USD 1.9 billion) and China (USD 1.65 billion).

Capital will be on the move in 2013, with more headed for AP real estate.

About the author
Dr Megan Walters is the Head of Research, Jones Lang LaSalle Asia Pacific Capital Markets.

A Good Start To The Year

Monday, January 7th, 2013

Asia fared better than other regions last year, but it too has not been immune to what’s been happening in the world’s economies over the last 12 months. This is evident given the new economic data from Singapore which shows that Singapore narrowly missed slipping into a recession in the fourth quarter with economic growth of only 1.8% (Q-o-Q annualised) in the fourth quarter.

So, now with 2012 in the past, what will 2013 have in store?

Well, certainly if the start to the New Year is anything to go by, things globally are looking a little rosier. Before I’d even set foot back into the office, the US fiscal cliff deal had bolstered equities markets around the globe; the FTSE was over the 6,000 mark for the first time in 18 months, and the Hang Seng up over 3%. Indeed as at the 4th of January, these bourses are up considerably on a y-o-y basis, nearly 12% and 30% respectively.

Being in the research business I understand just how important quality information is. Our clients buy the Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS) for a reason, sometimes they need concrete historical data and forecasts, sometimes they need access to observations and people on the ground.

On this basis, and given I’ve just completed my busiest time of the year out and about meeting up with clients and potential clients to discuss their plans for the year ahead, I thought I’d bring you some of my take-aways. Hopefully some of these high level observations may provide a little insight as to what may be in-store for us in Asia Pacific’s real estate markets in 2013.

By observation, there seems to be an air of confidence regarding Asia Pacific going into 2013. The region in general is very much on investors’ radars, possibly even more so than before. Interestingly, South East Asia which had not been in the sights of some clients, seems to be back on the agenda. China is still very much in favour and I continue to see increased interested in our REIS services for this market – something which I think bodes well given that this is a potential leading indicator for where clients may deploy capital.

Clients new and old alike, seem to be focusing their sights and refining their strategies – especially on the debt and investment front. For some investors 2011/2012 was a period of restructure, however with these restructures mainly worked through and now with tighter leaner teams at the fore, these investors are now in better shape to move forwards in 2013.

Indeed, if the latest RMB billion land transaction in Beijing is anything to go by, the highest premium paid at auction in two years, then the sun is still shining!

A Happy New Year, may it be good to all of us!

To access a taster of some of the key real estate indicators available through REIS, download our NEW mobile site to your handset at www.joneslanglasalle.com/datatouch.

About the author
Roddy Allan is a Director, Asia Pacific Research for Jones Lang LaSalle, based in Hong Kong.

A Look Back At 2012

Friday, December 21st, 2012

Another year has flown by…while the world economy has slowed further. Asia Pacific certainly hasn’t been immune from the global challenges, but it has held up relatively well this year all things considered. As I look back on the last twelve months, here are a few of the highlights:

  • 2012 regional growth is expected to come in at around 4.8%, or almost three times higher than the rest of the world. While the region’s exporters have been hit by weak demand from the West, growth has been bolstered by stronger domestic sectors.
  • Once again, China has been the regional outperformer with expected GDP growth of close to 8%, and recent data suggest a bottoming out of the slowdown there.
  • The prize for “emerging star” goes to Indonesia, while South East Asia generally has proven to be quite resilient over the course of 2012.
  • Across the region’s property markets, we’ve seen a divergence between leasing and investment activity levels this year. Corporates have remained cautious about expansion plans while investors, mainly cash rich locals, have continued to seek out acquisition opportunities.
  • Top of the office market rankings in terms of rental and capital value growth have been Beijing and Jakarta – not surprising given the economic performance and demand-supply fundamentals of these markets.
  • These results are in keeping with our latest global real estate transparency findings published in mid-2012. The biggest improvers in Asia Pacific over the last two years have been the South East Asian countries, led by Indonesia. China also recorded good progress.
  • The AP research team trusts that you’ve found our research to be of value in your decision making and we hope that you’ve enjoyed our blog series this year. We’re taking a short break from blogging and will be back in the new year.

    On behalf of the team, I would like to wish our readers a happy festive season and all the best for 2013.

    About the author
    Dr Jane Murray is the Head of Research, Jones Lang LaSalle Asia Pacific.